Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salzburg v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Madrid
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Madrid
ŞMP
3-2
HT 1-1
Salzburg
ŞMP
Salzburg 1-4 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Salzburg 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Salzburg had 50% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 50%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.62 to 2.13.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salzburg and 1.67 for Atletico Madrid.
What was the final score of Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid?
Salzburg 1-4 Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 21%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.