Bayern Münih 2-0 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
78%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
3.46
Over
66%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
19%
8.21
2-3
34%
2.36
4-5
30%
2.35
6+
17%
3.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.22
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
31.5
X/1
24%
4.07
X/2
2%
35.0
X/X
7%
13.55
2/1
10%
21.8
2/2
3%
30.5
2/X
4%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bayern Münih win — 78%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
78%
Home Win
82%
-4.2pp
15%
Draw
10%
+4.1pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
25%
+8.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
75%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise The Market 9%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.98/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.30
+26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -14%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
548 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
46.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.4 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
2-0
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
74% Ball Possession 26%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
849 Passes 244
93% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih got the better of Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 74% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 26%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Bayern Münih 2-0 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Champions League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 78%, draw 15%, Union Saint-Gilloise 7%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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