FBK Karlstad 1-2 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 50%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
2.31/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.08
+71% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FBK Karlstad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vasalund IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.06.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-0 HT 0-0 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
1-2
AWAY Vasalund IF
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF nicked a narrow win over FBK Karlstad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vasalund IF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 48% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 52%, shots finished 4-18.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund IF?

FBK Karlstad 1-2 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 34%, draw 22%, Vasalund IF 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasalund IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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