Hammarby Talang 1-1 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.1pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.90/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.36
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby Talang
2W-2D-2L
AWAY IF Karlstad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
12.08.2023 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-1 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
17.05.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-2 HT 2-1 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
06.11.2022 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-4 HT 0-2 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
04.06.2022 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-0 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
15.09.2021 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-1 HT 2-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby Talang
1-1
AWAY IF Karlstad
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang and IF Karlstad shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby Talang at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hammarby Talang had 53% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 47%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hammarby Talang and 1.67 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad?

Hammarby Talang 1-1 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hammarby Talang 46%, draw 33%, IF Karlstad 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hammarby Talang), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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