Lunds BK 4-2 Oskarshamns AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
2.30/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.98
+8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2024 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 2-2 HT 0-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
14.10.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 0-2 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
22.04.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 0-1 HT 0-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
01.10.2022 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-2 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
30.04.2022 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 2-2 HT 1-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
16.10.2021 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
4-2
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs Oskarshamns AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK beat Oskarshamns AIK 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lunds BK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lunds BK had 55% of the ball to Oskarshamns AIK's 45%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lunds BK and 1.33 for Oskarshamns AIK.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Lunds BK 4-2 Oskarshamns AIK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 50%, draw 23%, Oskarshamns AIK 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lunds BK), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✓ Over 2.5
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