Levante 3-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
22%
4.21
X/2
5%
7.79
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
15%
6.28
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.6 Crosses 20.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Eldense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.06 xG 0.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
310 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Eldense Eldense 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
23.09.2023 Levante Levante 2-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
3-1
AWAY Eldense
2.29 xG 0.53
72% Ball Possession 28%
29 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
523 Passes 152
89% Pass Accuracy 68%
59 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Levante vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante got the better of Eldense 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levante as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levante had 72% of the ball to Eldense's 28%, shots finished 29-5, expected goals 2.29 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Levante and 0.00 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Levante vs Eldense?

Levante 3-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Levante 46%, draw 29%, Eldense 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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