Malaga 1-0 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

Malaga
1-0 HT 1-0
Huesca
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Malaga vs Huesca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
14%
7.61
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
12%
15.5
X/1
17%
4.46
X/2
9%
6.31
X/X
15%
3.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.66
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.5pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.3pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Huesca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.21/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.15
-27% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.4 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Malaga vs Huesca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Huesca
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.05.2023 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
11.09.2022 Huesca Huesca 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
27.03.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-2 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
19.10.2021 Huesca Huesca 0-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
12.06.2020 Malaga Malaga 1-3 HT 1-2 Huesca Huesca İS2
06.10.2019 Huesca Huesca 2-0 HT 2-0 Malaga Malaga İS2

Malaga 1-0 Huesca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
1-0
AWAY Huesca
0.90 xG 0.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
387 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga nicked a narrow win over Huesca 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Malaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Malaga had 53% of the ball to Huesca's 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Malaga and 1.33 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Huesca?

Malaga 1-0 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Malaga 40%, draw 33%, Huesca 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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