Fiorentina U20 1-2 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+132% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U20
1-2
AWAY Lecce U20
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U20 edged past Fiorentina U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina U20 had 54% of the ball to Lecce U20's 46%, shots finished 13-24.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20?

Fiorentina U20 1-2 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 46%, draw 24%, Lecce U20 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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