Milan U20 4-1 Empoli U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-15.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli U20 EU Bookmakers 23%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
4-1
AWAY Empoli U20
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Empoli U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 ran out comfortable winners over Empoli U20 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Milan U20 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Milan U20 had 51% of the ball to Empoli U20's 49%, shots finished 17-14.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Empoli U20?

Milan U20 4-1 Empoli U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Empoli U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 43%, draw 25%, Empoli U20 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan U20), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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