Como 2-2 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 14 Sep 2024

Como
2-2 HT 1-0
Bologna
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.91
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.36
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
11%
5.67
X/2
16%
5.06
X/X
14%
3.76
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.71
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.30/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.46
-3% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
Crosses 16.1
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bologna
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.03.2003 Como Como 5-1 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
10.11.2002 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Como Como İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
2-2
AWAY Bologna
1.17 xG 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
305 Passes 398
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como and Bologna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Como had 44% of the ball to Bologna's 56%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.17 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Como and 1.00 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Como vs Bologna?

Como 2-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Como 35%, draw 28%, Bologna 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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