UMF Tindastoll 2-2 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.46
Over 2.5
70%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-15.2pp
20%
Draw
15%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
25%
+4.7pp
70%
Over 2.5
75%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 14%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.70/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/3.92
+0% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Tindastoll
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AEgir
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.07.2024 AEgir AEgir 1-2 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll İZL2
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll and AEgir couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UMF Tindastoll at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs AEgir?

UMF Tindastoll 2-2 AEgir in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 59%, draw 20%, AEgir 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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