AEgir 1-2 UMF Tindastoll — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 3 Jul 2024

AEgir
1-2
UMF Tindastoll
📅03/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iceland - 2nd Division – 2024

AEgir vs UMF Tindastoll Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.59
Over 2.5
43%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.2pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
35%
+21.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
65%
-21.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AEgir v UMF Tindastoll — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 60%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-38% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH AEgir vs UMF Tindastoll
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll squeezed past AEgir 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AEgir vs UMF Tindastoll?

AEgir 1-2 UMF Tindastoll in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs UMF Tindastoll?

Before kick-off our model rated an UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AEgir 28%, draw 29%, UMF Tindastoll 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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