KFG Gardabar 5-4 Reynir Sandgerdi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Reynir Sandgerdi EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.28
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFG Gardabar
5-4
AWAY Reynir Sandgerdi
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH KFG Gardabar vs Reynir Sandgerdi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFG Gardabar squeezed past Reynir Sandgerdi 5-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KFG Gardabar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KFG Gardabar had 56% of the ball to Reynir Sandgerdi's 44%, shots finished 16-14.

What was the final score of KFG Gardabar vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

KFG Gardabar 5-4 Reynir Sandgerdi in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFG Gardabar vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFG Gardabar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KFG Gardabar 50%, draw 26%, Reynir Sandgerdi 24%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFG Gardabar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KFG Gardabar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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