Haukar 3-5 Throttur Vogar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.4pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haukar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Vogar EU Bookmakers 38%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.44/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/2.37
-11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
398 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haukar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Throttur Vogar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2023 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 2-1 Haukar Haukar İZL2
05.05.2023 Haukar Haukar 4-1 HT 0-1 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haukar
3-5
AWAY Throttur Vogar
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Vogar got the better of Haukar 5-3 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Haukar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Haukar had 51% of the ball to Throttur Vogar's 49%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Haukar and 1.50 for Throttur Vogar.

What was the final score of Haukar vs Throttur Vogar?

Haukar 3-5 Throttur Vogar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haukar vs Throttur Vogar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haukar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Haukar 44%, draw 18%, Throttur Vogar 38%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haukar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haukar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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