Nublense 1-0 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.46/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.60
+27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
17.9 Crosses 12.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cobresal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.87 xG 1.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
374 Passes 327
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Cobresal Cobresal 2-2 HT 1-2 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
06.08.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 1-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
19.02.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
23.07.2022 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
27.02.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
06.09.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 4-1 HT 2-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-0
AWAY Cobresal
1.18 xG 0.51
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
295 Passes 449
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense nicked a narrow win over Cobresal 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nublense as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nublense had 42% of the ball to Cobresal's 58%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.18 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nublense and 2.00 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Cobresal?

Nublense 1-0 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nublense 51%, draw 23%, Cobresal 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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