Kickers Emden 1-3 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 24%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.64
+1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Emden
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2023 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 0-4 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
25.09.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 7-0 HT 3-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Emden vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II beat Kickers Emden 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kickers Emden at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kickers Emden and 5.50 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of Kickers Emden vs Holstein Kiel II?

Kickers Emden 1-3 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Emden vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kickers Emden 46%, draw 28%, Holstein Kiel II 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kickers Emden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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