Meuselwitz 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Sep 2024

Meuselwitz
1-0 HT 1-0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Meuselwitz vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meuselwitz v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -21%
1.38/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.04
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Meuselwitz vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 4-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
12.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
20.08.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-4 HT 0-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meuselwitz squeezed past Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Meuselwitz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Meuselwitz and 2.00 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Meuselwitz 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meuselwitz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 38%, draw 28%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meuselwitz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meuselwitz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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