Bayreuth 1-0 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.40/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.00
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 13.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Illertissen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-2 HT 2-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
07.03.2020 Illertissen Illertissen 1-4 HT 1-2 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth edged past Illertissen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayreuth and 1.40 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Illertissen?

Bayreuth 1-0 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 47%, draw 24%, Illertissen 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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