Meppen 3-0 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.71/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.98
+38% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +72%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2021 Meppen Meppen 0-2 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
19.12.2020 Lübeck Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-1 Meppen Meppen AL3
POST-MATCH Meppen vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen cruised past Lübeck 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meppen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Meppen and 1.00 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Meppen vs Lübeck?

Meppen 3-0 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Meppen 43%, draw 26%, Lübeck 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meppen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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