Schwaben Augsburg 4-3 Schweinfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 55%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -25%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.82
+137% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schwaben Augsburg
4-3
AWAY Schweinfurt
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 13
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Schweinfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg squeezed past Schweinfurt 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Schweinfurt at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Schwaben Augsburg had 52% of the ball to Schweinfurt's 48%, shots finished 12-19.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Schweinfurt?

Schwaben Augsburg 4-3 Schweinfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Schweinfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 29%, draw 25%, Schweinfurt 46%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Schweinfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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