Steinbach 2-1 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steinbach EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -27%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.63
-20% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Steinbach
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Steinbach Steinbach 4-4 HT 2-4 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
14.12.2021 Steinbach Steinbach 1-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
25.08.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-1 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Steinbach
2-1
AWAY Mainz 05 II
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Steinbach vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach nicked a narrow win over Mainz 05 II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Steinbach as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Steinbach had 52% of the ball to Mainz 05 II's 48%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Steinbach and 1.83 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Steinbach vs Mainz 05 II?

Steinbach 2-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steinbach vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 41%, draw 25%, Mainz 05 II 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Steinbach), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Steinbach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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