VfB Oldenburg 4-0 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Sep 2024

VfB Oldenburg
4-0 HT 1-0
St. Pauli II
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
34%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
21%
+12.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VfB Oldenburg v St. Pauli II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
2.29/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.89
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
The Meetings
10.11.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
08.11.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-0 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
16.08.2015 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 1-2 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
17.05.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
15.11.2014 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 4-2 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
12.04.2014 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-4 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL

VfB Oldenburg 4-0 St. Pauli II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VfB Oldenburg
4-0
AWAY St. Pauli II
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg cruised past St. Pauli II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VfB Oldenburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, VfB Oldenburg had 49% of the ball to St. Pauli II's 51%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 2.17 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?

VfB Oldenburg 4-0 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 44%, draw 22%, St. Pauli II 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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