Bregenz 4-1 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
12%
8.24
X/X
9%
5.68
2/1
5%
21.35
2/2
15%
5.7
2/X
9%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+11.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.80/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.72
+9% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lafnitz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 3-0 HT 2-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
02.09.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 2-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz ran out comfortable winners over Lafnitz 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bregenz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bregenz and 2.00 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Lafnitz?

Bregenz 4-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 39%, draw 24%, Lafnitz 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bregenz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bregenz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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