Fremantle City 2-3 Stirling Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
5.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.7
6+ Goals
19%
6.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
2.65/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.23
+77% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremantle City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Stirling Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.07.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-2 HT 1-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVUSB
13.04.2024 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 4-2 HT 0-1 Fremantle City Fremantle City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Fremantle City vs Stirling Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Lions edged past Fremantle City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Stirling Lions made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stirling Lions led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fremantle City and 3.00 for Stirling Lions.

What was the final score of Fremantle City vs Stirling Lions?

Fremantle City 2-3 Stirling Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremantle City vs Stirling Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fremantle City 37%, draw 21%, Stirling Lions 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stirling Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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