Stirling Lions 4-2 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.0pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.87/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-53% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Stirling Lions vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Lions beat Fremantle City 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Stirling Lions made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Stirling Lions vs Fremantle City?

Stirling Lions 4-2 Fremantle City in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Lions vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stirling Lions 39%, draw 24%, Fremantle City 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stirling Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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