Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.51
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
11%
7.36
X/2
12%
4.42
X/X
13%
4.67
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.69
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 51%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
1.28/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.14
-6% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 72%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
15.3 Crosses 17.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.45 xG 1.74
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
175 Passes 395
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
12.08.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-0 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
17.04.2017 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AU2
02.12.2016 LASK Linz LASK Linz 4-0 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
23.09.2016 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AU2
29.07.2016 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
1-0
AWAY LASK Linz
1.79 xG 1.21
28% Ball Possession 72%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
145 Passes 494
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz edged past LASK Linz 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Blau-Weiss Linz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 28% of the ball to LASK Linz's 72%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.79 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 1.50 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs LASK Linz?

Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 36%, draw 26%, LASK Linz 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LASK Linz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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