Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.16
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
11%
6.53
X/2
14%
5.1
X/X
9%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
2/2
18%
2.96
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.09/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.87
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
242 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.2 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
257 Passes 306
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-2 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
17.09.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 2-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
26.02.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-2 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
03.02.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-3 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AUK
10.09.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-3 HT 0-2 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
21.05.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
1-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.47 xG 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
253 Passes 381
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC and Rapid Wien shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 44% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 56%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.47 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 2.00 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Wien?

Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 36%, draw 24%, Rapid Wien 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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