Shamakhi 1-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

Shamakhi
1-0 HT 1-0
Sumqayıt
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shamakhi v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.12/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.43
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
12.02.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
11.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 4-2 HT 2-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
11.09.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
09.05.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
18.03.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi edged past Sumqayıt 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Shamakhi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shamakhi and 1.17 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt?

Shamakhi 1-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 36%, draw 26%, Sumqayıt 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sumqayıt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
14 Sep 2024
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