14/09/2024
·
16:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Gulf Heroes vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
22%
Draw
16%
64%
Away Win
79%
48%
Under 2.5
46%
52%
Over 2.5
54%
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
60%
BTTS No
67%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gulf Heroes v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gulf Heroes
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Dhafra
EU Bookmakers 84%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
0.61/3.38
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.03/0.32
-28%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-18%
/
+150%
38%
Ball Possession
62%
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
6
232 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
427 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
Gulf Heroes vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gulf Heroes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Dhafra
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Gulf Heroes vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Dhafra ran out comfortable winners over Gulf Heroes 3-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Gulf Heroes vs Al Dhafra?
Gulf Heroes 0-3 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gulf Heroes vs Al Dhafra?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Gulf Heroes 15%, draw 22%, Al Dhafra 64%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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14 Sep 2024