Smorgon 0-4 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

Smorgon
0-4 HT 0-1
Torpedo Zhodino
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Smorgon vs Torpedo Zhodino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.33
6+ Goals
6%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 36% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Smorgon v Torpedo Zhodino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 64%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.01/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.82
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -2%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
187 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Smorgon vs Torpedo Zhodino Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 1-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
01.04.2023 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
02.10.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 7-1 HT 4-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
22.05.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 1-3 HT 1-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
25.11.2015 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 4-1 HT 1-1 Smorgon Smorgon BLRK

Smorgon 0-4 Torpedo Zhodino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
0-4
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino ran out comfortable winners over Smorgon 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Zhodino as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Smorgon had 57% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 43%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Smorgon and 3.40 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Smorgon 0-4 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 22%, draw 24%, Torpedo Zhodino 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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