Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 43%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.90/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.42
+66% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
22.10.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
26.06.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-2 HT 2-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-1
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and Slavia Mozyr shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 38% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 62%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 2.00 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 39%, draw 27%, Slavia Mozyr 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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