Wilstermann 1-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.59/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.73
-24% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
16.2 Crosses 11.8
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.87 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
236 Passes 231
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
09.04.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
18.09.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
23.04.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
20.02.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-0 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
1-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.89 xG 0.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
313 Passes 374
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann and Universitario de Vinto couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Wilstermann had 46% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 54%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.89 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Wilstermann and 0.60 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Universitario de Vinto?

Wilstermann 1-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 35%, draw 34%, Universitario de Vinto 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wilstermann), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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