Real Tomayapo 2-1 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.31/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.44
-1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
23.8 Crosses 12.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Tomayapo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
250 Passes 250
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
18.02.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
17.07.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
12.02.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
30.09.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
01.11.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Tomayapo
2-1
AWAY Santa Cruz
2.67 xG 0.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 173
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Real Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo edged past Santa Cruz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Tomayapo as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Tomayapo had 63% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 37%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.67 to 0.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Tomayapo's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Tomayapo and 1.00 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Real Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz?

Real Tomayapo 2-1 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Tomayapo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Real Tomayapo 59%, draw 22%, Santa Cruz 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Tomayapo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Tomayapo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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