14/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-3
Police vs Zamalek Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
26%
Draw
20%
52%
Away Win
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Zamalek — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Police
EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zamalek
EU Bookmakers 69%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+22% /
+22%
1.00/1.47
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.96/0.52
+68%
/
-25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+120%
/
+47%
41%
Ball Possession
59%
10
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
258 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.3
–
Crosses
17.9
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Police vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zamalek edged past Police 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Police vs Zamalek?
Police 0-1 Zamalek in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Zamalek?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Police 22%, draw 26%, Zamalek 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Zamalek)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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14 Sep 2024