Stade Tunisien 1-0 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-6.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
Crosses 16.2
Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Tunisien
1-0
AWAY USM Alger
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien nicked a narrow win over USM Alger 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Tunisien as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stade Tunisien had 43% of the ball to USM Alger's 57%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs USM Alger?

Stade Tunisien 1-0 USM Alger in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 43%, draw 29%, USM Alger 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Tunisien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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