Buxton 2-2 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
35%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
56%
-18.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+14.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.92/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-3% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +89%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
2-2
AWAY Barwell
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton and Barwell shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buxton had 57% of the ball to Barwell's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Barwell?

Buxton 2-2 Barwell in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Buxton 38%, draw 27%, Barwell 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Under 2.5
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