Worksop Town 6-3 Basford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Basford United EU Bookmakers 24%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.42
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worksop Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Basford United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 6
01.04.2024 Basford United Basford United 3-1 HT 0-1 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worksop Town
6-3
AWAY Basford United
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Basford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town ran out comfortable winners over Basford United 6-3. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Worksop Town had 63% of the ball to Basford United's 37%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Worksop Town and 1.50 for Basford United.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Basford United?

Worksop Town 6-3 Basford United in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Basford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 57%, draw 23%, Basford United 20%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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