Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Sep 2024

Rouen
1-1 HT 1-0
Valenciennes
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Rouen vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 32% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
11%
4.85
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
6.25
X/X
12%
4.26
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.61
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · X/2 at 6.25 — our 16% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rouen v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.09/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Rouen vs Valenciennes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FRK

Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
1-1
AWAY Valenciennes
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen and Valenciennes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Rouen had 42% of the ball to Valenciennes's 58%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Valenciennes?

Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rouen 37%, draw 27%, Valenciennes 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rouen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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