Pocheon 1-3 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pocheon EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
0.78/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.55
-46% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pocheon
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
18.05.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 0-1 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
16.09.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 2-1 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
20.05.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-2 HT 0-2 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
24.09.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 2-3 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
21.05.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 0-1 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
POST-MATCH Pocheon vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation got the better of Pocheon 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Busan Transportation made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Pocheon and 1.80 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Pocheon vs Busan Transportation?

Pocheon 1-3 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 37%, draw 27%, Busan Transportation 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pocheon), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pocheon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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