Siheung Citizen 1-0 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
18%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
18%
Away Win
26%
-8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.25/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.15
-13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Changwon City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
18.05.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 2-2 HT 2-2 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
22.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
27.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.10.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
03.09.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
08.05.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen squeezed past Changwon City 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.33 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?

Siheung Citizen 1-0 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 52%, draw 30%, Changwon City 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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