Changwon City 2-2 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.15/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.90
+2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
22.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
27.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.10.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
03.09.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
08.05.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
08.04.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 3-0 HT 1-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City and Siheung Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Changwon City and 0.83 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?

Changwon City 2-2 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 33%, draw 32%, Siheung Citizen 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
18 May 2024
08:00 Busan Transportation vs Pocheon Analysis →
09:00 Hwaseong vs Ulsan Citizen Analysis →
09:00 Paju Citizen vs Yangpyeong Analysis →