Paju Citizen 1-1 Yangpyeong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.30/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.04
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Yangpyeong
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.09.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 1-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
28.05.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 4-2 HT 2-1 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Yangpyeong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen and Yangpyeong shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paju Citizen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Paju Citizen and 1.50 for Yangpyeong.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Yangpyeong?

Paju Citizen 1-1 Yangpyeong in the South Kore - K3 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Yangpyeong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 46%, draw 25%, Yangpyeong 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paju Citizen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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