Hwaseong 1-0 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.08/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.04
-28% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.10.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
03.06.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
04.03.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOK
28.08.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
01.05.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
31.10.2021 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong squeezed past Ulsan Citizen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hwaseong had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hwaseong and 0.50 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Hwaseong 1-0 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 50%, draw 22%, Ulsan Citizen 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
18 May 2024
08:00 Busan Transportation vs Pocheon Analysis →
09:00 Changwon City vs Siheung Citizen Analysis →
09:00 Paju Citizen vs Yangpyeong Analysis →