Zrinski Jurjevac 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.99/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.83
+38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 3-0 HT 3-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
10.03.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 0-0 HT 0-0 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
0-1
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zrinski Jurjevac vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci nicked a narrow win over Zrinski Jurjevac 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zrinski Jurjevac at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zrinski Jurjevac had 57% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 43%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zrinski Jurjevac had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zrinski Jurjevac and 0.00 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Zrinski Jurjevac vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Zrinski Jurjevac 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinski Jurjevac vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinski Jurjevac win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zrinski Jurjevac 48%, draw 29%, Croatia Zmijavci 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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