HNK Cibalia 1-1 Orijent 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 33%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.02/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.01
+51% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Orijent 1919
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 1-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
24.02.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-0 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
30.09.2023 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-3 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-1
AWAY Orijent 1919
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia and Orijent 1919 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 41% of the ball to Orijent 1919's 59%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HNK Cibalia and 0.33 for Orijent 1919.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919?

HNK Cibalia 1-1 Orijent 1919 in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 38%, draw 28%, Orijent 1919 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HNK Cibalia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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