Istra 1961 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 14 Sep 2024

Istra 1961
0-2 HT 0-1
Lokomotiva Zagreb
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2024/2025

Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istra 1961 v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.19/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.14
-2% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.6 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.86 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
16.12.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
02.10.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-4 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
23.07.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
21.05.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
19.03.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR

Istra 1961 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-2
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.46 xG 1.37
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
343 Passes 138
74% Pass Accuracy 55%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb beat Istra 1961 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiva Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 65% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 35%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.46 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.83 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Istra 1961 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 39%, draw 28%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Istra 1961) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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