Koninklijke HFC 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
29%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
35%
-10.7pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.5pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.59/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.96
+15% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +55%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.97 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
150 Passes 286
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
09.09.2018 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 3-1 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
1-0
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC squeezed past AFC Amsterdamsche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 39% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 61%, shots finished 2-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 1.50 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Koninklijke HFC 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 24%, draw 34%, AFC Amsterdamsche 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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