Jong Sparta 0-2 ACV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ACV EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.98/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.01
+5% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ACV
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.01.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 3-1 HT 1-0 ACV HOLTW
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV got the better of Jong Sparta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jong Sparta at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs ACV?

Jong Sparta 0-2 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs ACV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 47%, draw 23%, ACV 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
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