Jong Sparta 3-1 ACV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Jan 2024

Jong Sparta
3-1 HT 1-0
ACV
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Tweede Divisie – 2023/2024

Jong Sparta vs ACV Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
42%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
42%
Away Win
30%
+12.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jong Sparta v ACV — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY ACV EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/1.67
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +147% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta beat ACV 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Jong Sparta made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs ACV?

Jong Sparta 3-1 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs ACV?

Before kick-off our model rated an ACV win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 37%, draw 21%, ACV 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ACV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ACV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
13 Jan 2024
16:30 GVVV vs ADO 20 Analysis →
16:30 Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC Analysis →
17:00 SV Spakenburg vs Scheveningen Analysis →
17:00 Quick Boys vs De Treffers Analysis →
17:00 Kozakken Boys vs Rijnsburgse Boys Analysis →
17:45 Jong Almere City vs AFC Amsterdamsche Analysis →