GVVV 2-1 ADO 20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Jan 2024

GVVV
2-1 HT 2-0
ADO 20
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.15
Over 2.5
37%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.68
No
62%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
43%
+20.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
57%
-20.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
56%
-17.6pp
62%
BTTS No
44%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO 20 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +67% / +67%
1.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ADO 20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.08.2023 ADO 20 ADO 20 2-2 HT 0-1 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
2-1
AWAY ADO 20
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GVVV vs ADO 20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV nicked a narrow win over ADO 20 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had GVVV as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GVVV had 57% of the ball to ADO 20's 43%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of GVVV vs ADO 20?

GVVV 2-1 ADO 20 in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs ADO 20?

Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split GVVV 45%, draw 25%, ADO 20 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GVVV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GVVV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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